The FBI Column: Deconstructing the weekend’s football betting

Premier League Odds

Kicking off the season will be Arsenal and Sunderland. Arsenal have made many useful additions to their squad such as highly-rated Spanish starlet Santi Cazorla, Ligue 1 top scorer Olivier Giroud and German playmaker Lukas Podolski. They start life post RVP at a best-priced 4/9 (Paddy Power) to beat a Sunderland side who are a whopping 17/2 with Stan James. Fulham are favourites (17/20 with Willie Hills) to win their opener against Norwich. They have been active during the window, adding players such as Rodallega, Petric and Sascha Riether to their squad; Norwich did well in their return to the Premier League last season and are 4/1 with Pinnacle to come out on top here.  One of the closest bouts of the opening weekend sees Tottenham travel to Newcastle. Spurs finished 4th in the Prem last season with Newcastle only a place behind. Newcastle are best-priced 8/5 with Boylesports but the 47/25 from Betfair for Tottenham looks the best value lay in my opinion.

Swansea look great value in their opener with QPR, with Betfair offering 16/5 with Betfred . They have brought in Michu from Rayo Vallecano for £2m who plundered 16 goals in La Liga last season. However, QPR are favourites as although finishing 6 places below Swansea in the Prem last season, they have recruited well. In my opinion there’s some great value in Stoke beating new boys Reading, with the Potters at 57/29 with Pinnacle Sports. Although Reading have brought in 7 new signings, I believe Stoke will have the edge and at that price, are worth adding to your accumulator if you’re looking for value over short-priced favourites. There are some interesting prices in Liverpool’s opener with West Brom. Sadly, Liverpool appear the obvious choice and are well-priced at 11/10 with Coral. However, West Brom only finished 2 places below Liverpool last season in the Prem in 10th, and 3/1 with Pinnacle seems very generous.

West Ham are favourites to beat Aston Villa at Upton Park, with Coral offering 11/8 for the Hammers and Stan James giving as far out as 5/2 for the Villains to come out on top. I expect long balls and goals aplenty with Villa and Lambert’s superior know how edging this one. In the Monday night game Everton are a best-priced 27/8 with Pinnacle, with Man United at 11/12 with the same firm. A correct score of 2-2 appeals to me at 16/1 with William Hill. Click here for more analysis and odds on Everton v Man United

Premier League Treble: Liverpool, QPR & Chelsea win treble £5 stake returns £32.30 with William Hill

Goalscorer Treble: Djibrill Cisse, Sergio Aguero & Fernando Torres all score anytime £5 treble returns £34,69 at Willie Hills

Best of the rest….

Warnock is well versed in escaping the Championship and his Leeds side are 6/4 (willie hills) to beat a far from united Wolves outfit who have one just twice  in 22 at Elland Road. Leicester and Forest also look good for opening day home wins on the coupon. Rotherham at home to Burton at 4/6  (Betfred) looks decent as the Millers kick off their promotion push at their new ground. Fellow promotion hopefuls Fleetwood are evens at home to beat Torquay and are worth laying. Port Vale had an excellent home record last season and at 10/11 at Willie Hills are decent odds against a poor Barnet side.

Dead Certs: Ipswich / Blackburn – Both teams to score (btts) 8/13 (Coral) /  AFC Wimbledon v Chesterfield 2.5 goals +  8/11 (Willie Hills)

Saturday treble: 2.5 goals plus West ham v Villa / afc Wmbledon v Chestefield / Crewe v Notts County £5 returns £31.86 with William Hill

Sunday double Wigan v Chelsea / Man city v Southampton – Btts double

Weekend Longshot:: 4 draws – Newcastle v Spurs /Reading v Stoke / Millwall v Blackpool /  Preston v Colchester

By Tom Clarke

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One thought on “The FBI Column: Deconstructing the weekend’s football betting

  1. Pingback: The FBI Column: Deconstructing the weekend’s football betting | ForEvertonians

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